Asteroid 2024 YR42024 YR4
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European Space Agency

European Space Agency

@esa

February 19, 2025 at 2:43 PM938 likesView on X

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@meesdumb.bsky.social

天文学家估计,直径约60米的小行星2024YR4,在2032年12月22日撞击月球的概率约为4% 。释放的能量相当于一次中等规模的核爆,很可能是近五千年来最大的月球撞击事件。 好处是可以利用月震信号逐层绘制月球内部结构图,或许还有精彩的流星雨。 坏处是,一些近地轨道卫星将遭到损坏,它们的碎片再与其他航天器相撞,产生更多的碎片,即所谓的凯斯勒综合症。

1 day ago
@g-age.bsky.social

Asteroid 2024 YR4, roughly 60 meters (200 feet) wide, has a 4% chance of colliding with the Moon on December 22, 2032, according to 2025 observations from NASA and the ESA. While it poses no threat to Earth, a potential lunar impact could create a 1-km crater and eject debris.

1 day ago
@asrivkin.bsky.social

2024 YR4.

3 days ago
u/dirksn

Asteroid 2024 YR4: Mondtreffer hätte spektakuläre Folgen - Mondeinschlag im Jahr 2032 könnte ein sichtbares Aufleuchten, Rekord-Mondbeben und einen Meteorsturm auslösen

11 days ago
u/InterstellarKinetics

BREAKING: Thousands of ‘City‑Killer’ Asteroids Threaten Earth… And NASA Can’t Find Them 🌏🚀

13 days ago
u/bot_olini

Asteroide 2024 YR4: NASA activa defensa planetaria por posible impacto

20 days ago
Asteroid 2024 YR42024 YR4

Tracking asteroid 2024 YR4 on its journey through our solar system. Real-time data, news, and community.

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The probability that asteroid 2024 YR4 might impact Earth in 2032 has risen to 2.8%. This means that it has surpassed the chance of impact briefly held by the much larger asteroid Apophis back in 2004. Learn more about why the impact probability is increasing and why it could Show more

Uncertainty region of the asteroid 2024 YR4 shown in orange with the Earth shown in blue.
2:43 PM · Feb 19, 2025
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