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Chance of Asteroid Strike in 2032 Drops Sharply After Record-Setting Rise — Here's Why It Keeps Changing

The probability of asteroid 2024 YR4 impacting the Moon in 2032 has dropped significantly after reaching a record high. Scientists explain why these odds fluctuate as new observations refine the asteroid's orbit.

Thousands of ‘city-killer’ asteroids threaten Earth... and Nasa can’t find them

An Asteroid Might Slam Into the Moon in 2032—and Create a Fiery Flash That's Visible to Earthlings, New Research Suggests

Asteroid 2024 YR4's collision with the moon could create a flash visible from Earth, study finds

If the building-size asteroid 2024 YR4 crashes into the moon in December 2032, the impact will produce a bright flash that may be visible to the naked eye, a new study finds.

Asteroid 2024 YR4's collision with the moon could create a flash visible from Earth, study finds

Scientists warn: A giant asteroid 2024 YR4 could hit the Moon in 2032 and send fireballs toward Earth, ri

Asteroid 2024 YR4’s Possible 2032 Moon Impact — What the Aftermath Could Look Like

If asteroid YR4 hits our Moon, it'll cause a bright flash and meteors as debris hits Earth, say scientists

Asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting moon in 2032 would be great for lunar science

Though there's only a 4% chance that 2024 YR4 hits the moon, scientists have stated it would be a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity.

Astronomers Are Planning For The 4 Percent Chance Of Asteroid 2024 YR4 Hitting The Moon

If the impact occurs, it will hit with the force of 6.5 megatons of TNT and cause meteor showers on Earth.

Asteroid 2024 YR4: Astronomers Are Preparing For The "Most Energetic Lunar Impact Witnessed In Human History"

Asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting moon in 2032 would be great for lunar science

Asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 4% chance of hitting the moon. Here's why that's a scientific goldmine

There's a bright side to every situation. In 2032, the moon itself might have a particularly bright side if it is blasted by a 60-meter-wide asteroid. The chances of such an event are still relatively small (only around 4%) but are non-negligible. And scientists are starting to prepare both for the bad (massive risks to satellites and huge meteors raining down on a large portion of the planet) and the good (a once-in-a-lifetime chance to study the geology, seismology, and chemical makeup of our nearest neighbor). A new paper from Yifan He of Tsinghua University and co-authors, posted to the arXiv preprint server, looks at the bright side of all of the potential interesting science we can do if a collision does, indeed, happen.

Asteroid 2024 YR4 Has a 4% Chance of Hitting the Moon. Here’s Why That’s a Scientific Goldmine.

Asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 4% chance of hitting the moon. Here's why that's a scientific goldmine

'Potentially hazardous' asteroid 2024 YR4 was Earth's first real-life planetary defense test

Asteroid 2024 YR4 Was Earth's First Real-Life Defense Test

Asteroid 2024 YR4 was Earth's first real-life defense test

In 2032, Earth May Be Treated To A Meteor Shower Like No Other, Courtesy Of "City-Killer" Asteroid 2024 YR4

Odds of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting the moon may rise to 30 per cent

Lunar Impact? Asteroid 2024 YR4 and the Risk to the Moon

An asteroid might be heading for the moon. Should we nuke it?

The City-Killer Asteroid May Hit the Moon in 2032 — What Would Happen If We Blasted It With Nukes First?

We could nuke 'city killer' asteroid 2024 YR4 before it hits the moon — if we act fast, new study warns

NASA Proposes Blowing Up Asteroid 2024 YR4 So It Doesn't Hit The Moon

Destroying asteroid 2024 YR4 could be the best option to stop it from hitting the moon

Destroying Asteroid 2024 YR4 Is The Best Option To Stop It From Hitting The Moon

If This Asteroid Hits the Moon, Watch for Shooting Stars and Stricken Satellites

The asteroid that will spare Earth might hit the moon instead. What happens if it does?

Asteroid 2024 YR4 won’t hit Earth— So why are scientists still worried?

Asteroid 2024 YR4 won't Earth but it could still ruin your day: Here's how

Will asteroid 2024 YR4 hit the Moon?

Planetary Defense Archives

Asteroid 2024 YR4 might smash into the moon

Will asteroid 2024 YR4 hit the Moon?

Will asteroid 2024 YR4 hit the moon?

'City killer' asteroid 2024 YR4 could shower Earth with 'bullet-like' meteors if it hits the moon in 2032

Study Warns What Happens If A Giant Asteroid Crashes Into Earth's Moon

Asteroid on collision course with moon could fire shrapnel at Earth

Chances of City-Killer Asteroid Impacting the Moon Raised from 3.8 to 4.3 Percent

James Webb telescope ups the odds that 'city-killer' asteroid 2024 YR4 will hit the moon in 2032

NASA warns ‘city killer’ asteroid may hit the Moon sooner than expected; Earth remains safe for now

NASA Observations Suggest Asteroid 2024 YR4 Now Has 1-In-23 Chance To Hit The Moon In 2032

NASA’s Webb Observations Update Asteroid 2024 YR4’s Lunar Impact Odds

While asteroid 2024 YR4 is currently too distant to detect with telescopes from Earth, NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope collected one more observation of the asteroid before it escaped from view in i

NASA’s Webb Observations Update Asteroid 2024 YR4’s Lunar Impact Odds

2024 YR4 Facts

2024 YR4 | Asteroid, 2032, & Facts

Will asteroid 2024 YR4 hit Earth's Moon?

NASA Update on the Size Estimate and Lunar Impact Probability of Asteroid 2024 YR4

Since near-Earth asteroid 2024 YR4 was first discovered in December 2024, NASA and the worldwide planetary defense community have continued to observe the asteroid, which was ruled out as a significan

A "city-killer" asteroid is no longer on track to hit Earth – but it may strike the moon, scientists say